ADP Group traffic barely grows in February as Ramadan and geopolitics weigh

Groupe ADP reported 26.7 million passengers across its network in February 2026, a modest +0.6% increase year-on-year, signalling a slowdown compared to stronger growth seen elsewhere in Europe.

At Paris Aéroport, traffic reached 7.4 million passengers, up +0.7%, broadly in line with the group average.

Key factors impacting performance

• Calendar effect: The earlier timing of Ramadan (starting mid-February in 2026 vs March in 2025) had a negative impact on traffic, particularly on routes linked to Muslim-majority markets.

• Geopolitical risk: Ongoing instability in the Middle East is expected to increasingly affect traffic from March onward.

Exposure to Middle East traffic

The group highlighted its significant reliance on Middle East flows, which could become a pressure point:

• Paris airports: 5.7 million passengers (?5% of traffic)

• TAV Airports: 7.9 million (?7%)

• GMR Airports: 8–11% exposure at Delhi and Hyderabad

• Queen Alia International Airport (Amman): ~75% of traffic linked to the region

Outlook

ADP warned that airspace restrictions, schedule changes, and rising fuel prices tied to the Middle East situation could:

• Shift demand to alternative routes

• Weigh on airline capacity planning

• Create volatility in traffic trends over the coming months

Bottom line: February shows flat growth with early signs of external pressure, and ADP is flagging heightened uncertainty for the rest of 2026, especially linked to geopolitical developments and seasonal travel patterns.