Operational performance
Despite severe weather conditions in December, we achieved on time performance during the quarter of 79%.
| OTP % arrivals within 15 minutes | Oct | Nov | Dec | Q1 | YTD |
| FY’17 | 78% | 87% | 73% | 79% | 79% |
| FY’16 | 82% | 84% | 79% | 82% | 82% |
easyJet is focused on delivering improved operational performance and a more resilient network through changes to its schedules and rostering, as well as investment in reducing the number and impact of technical issues in the fleet. An update on progress and benefits will be provided at half year results.
As indicated in our full year 2016 results announcement, easyJet expects to incur a number of non-headline costs during the 2017 financial year. These costs will be separately disclosed as non-headline profit before tax items:
Commenting, Carolyn McCall, easyJet Chief Executive said:
easyJet has delivered a solid first quarter with revenue, cost and passenger numbers in line with expectations. This is despite a tough pricing and operating environment.
Consumer demand remains strong with passenger growth of 8.2%, revenue growth of 7.2% and headline cost per seat reduction, at constant currency, of over 2%. The weakness of Sterling and the impact of fuel combined are £35m worse than previously expected but easyJet has made good progress in reducing costs in those areas where we have more control such as engineering, maintenance, non-regulated airports and overheads.
easyJet continues to grow with purpose in our core markets with capacity growth of up to 9% across our network. Our focus has been to invest to deliver long term sustainable, profitable growth by strengthening our leading positions at Europe’s biggest and most popular airports.
The underlying year-on-year revenue per seat trend continues to improve, supported by resilient demand across all our European markets. Forward bookings are ahead of last year.
| Three months ended | 31 Dec 2016 | 31 Dec 2015 | Change Fav./(adv.) |
| Passengers (million) 2 | 17.4 | 16.1 | 8.2% |
| Seats flown (million) | 19.3 | 17.8 | 8.6% |
| Load factor (%) 3 | 90.0 | 90.3 | (0.3)ppts |
| Total revenue (£ million) | 997 | 930 | 7.2% |
| Seat revenue (£ million) | 977 | 914 | 7.0% |
| Non seat revenue (£ million) | 20 | 16 | 19.3% |
| Total revenue per seat reported (£) | 51.64 | 52.28 | (1.2)% |
| Total revenue per seat constant currency (£) | 48.01 | 52.28 | (8.2)% |
| Total revenue per passenger reported (£) | 57.39 | 57.90 | (0.9)% |
| Headline cost per seat reported (£)1 | (55.21) | (51.14) | (7.9)% |
| Headline cost per seat at constant currency (£)1 | (50.06) | (51.14) | 2.1% |
| Headline cost per seat excluding fuel at constant currency (£)1 | (37.89) | (37.47) | (1.1)% |
| ASKs (billion) | 20.7 | 19.1 | 8.8% |
| RPKs (billion) | 18.8 | 17.4 | 8.2% |
| Average sector length (km) | 1,074 | 1,072 | 0.2% |
easyJet operates under a clear set of treasury policies agreed by the Board. The aim of easyJet’s hedging policy is to reduce short-term earnings volatility. Therefore, easyJet hedges forward, on a rolling basis, between 65% and 85% of the next 12 months anticipated fuel and currency requirements and between 45% and 65% of the following 12 months anticipated requirements. Specific decisions may require consideration of a longer term approach. Details of current hedging arrangements are set out below:
| Percentage of anticipated requirement hedged | Fuel requirement | US Dollar requirement | Euro surplus | Swiss Franc surplus | |
| Six months to 31 March 2017 | 85% | 83% | 82% | 78% | |
| Average rate | $659 / metric tonne | $1.52 | €1.36 | CHF1.42 | |
| Full year ending 30 September 2017 | 83% | 80% | 86% | 74% | |
| Average rate | $613 / metric tonne | $1.50 | €1.35 | CHF1.40 | |
| Full year ending 30 September 2018 | 54% | 53% | 64% | 55% | |
| Average rate | $513 / metric tonne | $1.41 | €1.26 | CHF1.33 | |
It is estimated that at current exchange rates4 and with jet fuel remaining within a $520 metric tonne to $600 metric tonne trading range, easyJet’s unit fuel bill for the first half of the financial year is likely to decrease by between £70 million and £80 million compared to the six months to 31 March 2016. On a full year basis it is estimated that at current exchange rates and with jet fuel within a $520 metric tonne to $600 metric tonne trading range, easyJet’s unit fuel bill for the 12 months ending 30 September 2017 is likely to decrease by between £215 million and £240 million compared to the 12 months to 30 September 2016.
In addition, exchange rate movements are likely to have around a £75 million adverse impact compared to the six months to 31 March 2016 on headline earnings and are likely to have around a £105 million adverse impact compared to the 12 months to 30 September 2016.
The pricing and operating environment remains tough with fuel prices remaining low and continued strong growth in European short haul capacity impacting yields across the industry.
easyJet’s seat capacity is planned to grow in the first half year by up to 9% and by up to 9% in the full year, subject to normal levels of disruption and some investment in resilience.
Approximately 56% of expected bookings for the second quarter have now been secured, slightly ahead of the prior year. Revenue per seat for the first half is expected to decline by high single digits, within the range of previous guidance. This reflects Easter moving entirely into the second half of the year and some impact in the half from the Berlin attack. Adjusting for the above, the year-on-year revenue per seat decline is expected to improve in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. At this time of the year visibility into the third quarter is limited but April is progressing well with the benefit of Easter.
With capacity growth at up to 9%, headline cost per seat excluding fuel at constant currency is expected to increase by circa 1% for the full year (subject to normal levels of disruption) in line with previous guidance, with first half headline cost per seat excluding fuel at constant currency also expected to increase by circa 1%. This equates to a full year decrease in headline cost per seat including fuel at constant currency of around 3%. easyJet continues to maintain a strong focus on cost control, driving continued improvement in operational performance and delivery of its customer proposition. easyJet is committed to its target of flat cost per seat excluding fuel at constant currency in 2019 vs. 2015.
The weakness of Sterling is expected to impact easyJet’s year on year Profit before tax for financial year 2017 by around £105 million.
easyJet is well positioned to take advantage of the opportunities that are available in the tough market conditions. With its strong balance sheet and significant financial and operational flexibility, easyJet is confident in its ability to drive long-term shareholder returns from its strategy of purposeful investment in securing number one positions in its core markets.
24 Jan 2017
This post was published on 25 January 2017 15:49
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